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Blitzstars Winrate Calculator


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RonaldusMaximus_ #1 Posted 15 April 2019 - 09:00 PM

    Senior Sergeant

  • Players
  • 5546 battles
  • 740
  • [KALKI]
  • Member since:
    01-01-2012

So I have 3180 total battles fought with a career WR of 49.75 and a current WR of 56.55.

However if I my goal is for a career WR is 55 I would have to play another 10,710 battles but if my goal were optimistically changed to 56% the calculator says impossible.  

 

Is this based on playing at my career WR or my current WR?

 

Is it really impossible to reach a 56% WR for me?

 

Apologies for my poor math skills.


_Cletus, on 02 July 2019 - 01:55 PM, said:

 

Step 1:  Don't open your mouth in an alley.


I_Maverick_I #2 Posted 15 April 2019 - 09:24 PM

    Ribble4Prez2020

  • Players
  • 23361 battles
  • 2,436
  • [_V2_]
  • Member since:
    06-13-2016
Well, kinda, but not really. So the calculator takes your recent winrate and calculates how many battles it will take, assuming that recent winrate, to achieve a certain career winrate. 

The problem is, if you're averaging an exact 56% winrate now, and you want an exact career winrate of 56%, it theoretically will be impossible to reach, as it would take an infinite number of battles to go from 55.9999999...% to 56%. But if you raise your recent winrate to 57%, then it becomes possible. 

The higher you raise your recent winrate, the faster you'll be able to reach your goal assuming it is under the recent winrate, and the higher you raise your recent winrate, the higher you can set your goal. 

:izmena: go get 'em!

“He Who Greets With Fire”
Get to know me on Discord: _Ntwadumela#3656
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Cafe17951 #3 Posted 15 April 2019 - 09:25 PM

    Junior Sergeant

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  • 228
  • [_V_]
  • Member since:
    12-08-2014
If you want to reach 56% of winrar you will at least have to have 60% winr to reach that fast goal

djhiz #4 Posted 15 April 2019 - 09:26 PM

    Never Say Die

  • Players
  • 18923 battles
  • 1,079
  • [F2K]
  • Member since:
    12-11-2014
Yeah, that's odd. It says impossible only (to my knowledge) if you put in a target WR that's above (even by the slightest bit) your 30 day WR.

 

"Common sense is not so common"

- Voltaire Jingles


RonaldusMaximus_ #5 Posted 15 April 2019 - 09:47 PM

    Senior Sergeant

  • Players
  • 5546 battles
  • 740
  • [KALKI]
  • Member since:
    01-01-2012
Thank you all for the very well written responses!

_Cletus, on 02 July 2019 - 01:55 PM, said:

 

Step 1:  Don't open your mouth in an alley.


Dan_Deerso #6 Posted 15 April 2019 - 10:39 PM

    Tankologist

  • Players
  • 24732 battles
  • 3,916
  • [III]
  • Member since:
    11-13-2013
I think there's a maximum number of games where it says impossible, since it's a limit function it just keeps exponentially increasing.

plsdontkillmexxx #7 Posted 15 April 2019 - 11:56 PM

    First Sergeant

  • Players
  • 7033 battles
  • 1,001
  • [XHALE]
  • Member since:
    01-07-2019
Speaking of stats.. what do win8 and win7 mean? What do they represent, how are they calculated? and why is one different to the other? thanks,
The way some players behave, you'd think WOTB is a matter of life or death! Are they crazy!? Don't they know it's much more important than that!!

_Cletus #8 Posted 16 April 2019 - 01:25 AM

    Voodoo Wizard

  • Players
  • 22966 battles
  • 3,035
  • [HAHA]
  • Member since:
    04-03-2016
Mine says if I play 10 more games I'll be a 40%er.

https://www.blitzstars.com/api/sigs/com/1019725659.png   Avatar by crpl_hicks

 

Conan, what is best in lifeTo crush your enemies, see them driven before you, and to hear the lamentations of their women.


I_Maverick_I #9 Posted 16 April 2019 - 05:50 AM

    Ribble4Prez2020

  • Players
  • 23361 battles
  • 2,436
  • [_V2_]
  • Member since:
    06-13-2016

View Postplsdontkillmexxx, on 15 April 2019 - 03:56 PM, said:

Speaking of stats.. what do win8 and win7 mean? What do they represent, how are they calculated? and why is one different to the other? thanks,

 

WN7 is calculated by taking your performance in a certain tank, and compares it to the averages of the entire tier of whatever vehicle you're driving. What that means is that you can play an OP tank, do kinda average in it, but your WN7 will still be high. It also means that you can play a weak tank, play well in it, but have only an average WN7.

WN8 is much more fair, even though there are a few flaws in it. It compares your averages in a tank to the averages from the playerbase in that one tank. It means that your performance in the tank is what is being judged, not judging other tanks against it. If you play well in a tank, you get a good WN8 for it. If you play badly in it, you'll have a bad WN8. Simple. Fair. However, WN8 doesn't calculate two important things: the tier of the vehicle and the amount of battles played. You can play 1 battle in a tank, do really well, and have a super high WN8 although you just got lucky. With more battles, it becomes harder to average certain stats. Also, WN8 rewards seal clubbers. A player might have a 3000 WN8, but if its from Tier 1-6 battles, it doesn't necessarily mean that the player is very good against strong competition.

Oh, as for how they're calculated? REALLLLLLLY long calculations.Here's the WN7 one:

WN7 formula:
(1240-1040/(MIN(TIER,6))^0.164)*FRAGS
+DAMAGE*530/(184*e^(0.24*TIER)+130)
+SPOT*125*MIN(TIER, 3)/3
+MIN(DEF,2.2)*100
+((185/(0.17+e^((WINRATE-35)*-0.134)))-500)*0.45
-[(5 - MIN(TIER,5))*125] / [1 + e^( ( TIER - (GAMESPLAYED/220)^(3/TIER) )*1.5 )]
Would like to highlight that MIN() means the number capped at that value, so MIN(TIER, 5) means avg tier capped at 5, (so player avg tier is used if it is lower than 5, otherwise 5 is used) and MIN(DEF,2.2) means defense is capped at 2.2.

And WN8 can be found on Google, I won't care to find it :))


 


Edited by I_Maverick_I, 16 April 2019 - 05:56 AM.

“He Who Greets With Fire”
Get to know me on Discord: _Ntwadumela#3656
Join this Discord server while you're at it: 
sR2X6Hp

 


RonaldusMaximus_ #10 Posted 16 April 2019 - 12:37 PM

    Senior Sergeant

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  • 740
  • [KALKI]
  • Member since:
    01-01-2012

View Postplsdontkillmexxx, on 15 April 2019 - 07:56 PM, said:

Speaking of stats.. what do win8 and win7 mean? What do they represent, how are they calculated? and why is one different to the other? thanks,

 

Its all right here my friend

https://wiki.wargami...er_Ratings_(WoT)


_Cletus, on 02 July 2019 - 01:55 PM, said:

 

Step 1:  Don't open your mouth in an alley.





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