I understand the odds. It's gambling. I got spoiled when the first crate I ever bought, I won tank with 5% drop chance. I realize I got super lucky, but it irrational made me think that could happen again. So I told myself that I would just buy one of the 2 crates deals for $9.99. If I won the T-22 great, but if not no big deal only out $10 bucks. But regardless win or lose, I told myself that I definitely wasn't gonna buy any more crates trying to win the T-22.
Of course I didn't win the tank in those first 2 crates. So then I justified that surely if just bought one of the 6 crates packages I would win if the tank. Even though I clearly knew the odds would still only be about 35% for a total of 8 crates. Still didn't win. So like a bad gambler I bought another because then I knew that I was get over 50% odds with another 6 crates package. Finally I won the tank, but it costs me way too much money.
Anyway thanks for sharing these odds. I had just read s post on the EU former from some guy who was claims that no matter how many crates you buy your chance of winning the tank will never be more than 5%. Clearly that guy didn't take statistics in school. Yes the odds for each crate is only 5% but when u buy multiple crates your odds increase. Just like every individual flip of a coin has a 50% chance of head but your odds of getting at least 1 heads in 100 flips is basically 100%.