I_Am_Not_Toxic_I_Swear, on 08 July 2018 - 12:59 PM, said:
Omfg I actually can't believe I have to explain this... its like 5th grade level reading comprehension. I know I call out some "forumers" for being complete rocks, but at this point, its like 99% of you idiots failed english or something.
Player bases perspective - NOT HIS LOGIC AND REASONING, ITS THE LOGIC AND REASONING OF THE PLAYERBASE
1. Buy crates for juicy looking tank
2. sees there is a 5% drop rate, thinks to herself / himself / itself that if i buy 20 crates ill get 100% chance of getting said tank. - AGAIN, THE LOGIC AND REASONING OF THE PLAYERBASE
3. reality sets in 20 crates with 5% drop = 5% drop, tho you get 20 chances to drop the tank 5% of the time. - HOW THE MATH ACTUALLY WORKS.
__Crusader6__, on 08 July 2018 - 04:37 AM, said:
Well the math was wrong, as neither of you appear understand probability and averages.
I understand what he was trying to say, but his crate math explanation was done poorly. Which in turn made his general premise overlooked by many.
Go re-read Dan Deerso’s post.
Yes each crate has a 5% chance.
But when you buy more, the probability of getting a tank from one of those crates doesn’t just stay at 5% when you buy more than one crate.
Yes crates are generally a bad deal - like any sort of gambling, the House always wins, but if you play enough, you can get the odds up that you are more likely to ‘win’.
If he corrected the math, the argument would make a lot more sense.
Let me enlighten you on logic, x = .05
you buy 5 crates of x
(.05)
(.05)
(.05)
(.05)
(.05)